2015年3月2日星期一

quarter that revved up the crowd

DENVER (AP) Heal fast, Anthony Davis. In the meantime, know this: Your teammates are holding things down just fine until you're completely mended. Tyreke Evans scored 22 points, Dante Cunningham drew a key charge late in the fourth quarter and the New Orleans Pelicans extended their winning streak to five games by holding off the struggling Denver Nuggets 99-92 on Sunday night. Eric Gordon added some timely 3-pointers down the stretch and Omer Asik grabbed 16 rebounds for the Pelicans, who were without Davis for a fourth straight game after the All-Star forward re-injured his right shoulder on Feb. 21. The Pelicans are 4-0 in Davis' absence to remain in the playoff conversation. They're also missing Ryan Anderson (sprained right MCL) and Jrue Holiday (lower right leg), but still haven't missed a beat. "(Winning) takes the pressure off of them right now," said Cunningham, who had 14 points in more than 40 minutes. "This allows them to completely heal up and not necessarily rush back or think they have to be here for the team right now. As much as we love and want them back, we're holding it down right now until they get back." Denver dropped its 10th straight at the Pepsi Center, its longest home skid since losing 11 in a row during the 1997-98 season. Danilo Gallinari had 21 points for Denver, including a half-court shot to end the third quarter that revved up the crowd. The Nuggets fell to 0-6 since the All-Star break. "You've just got to find a way. You've got to play your heart out," said Kenneth Faried, who started at center with rookie Jusuf Nurkic sidelined by a sprained right foot. "I believe everybody gave their best effort and really tried. We just fell short." Gordon gave the Pelicans a 78-75 lead on a 3-pointer with 6:08 remaining. He hit another nearly two minutes later as the Nuggets kept things tight. That's when Cunningham came up big, making a jumper to increase the lead to 89-84. He then stepped in the way of Randy Foye as the guard drove down the lane. That helped send the Pelicans to their first win in the Mile High City since Jan. 9, 2012. "Dante was good all night long," Pelicans coach Monty Williams said. "He gave us some big-time juice." Same with Alexis Ajinca, who scored all of his 10 points in the second half. The biggest roar of the night was at the end of the third quarter when Gallinari stole a pass and hit a half-court shot at the buzzer to tie the game at 65. Gallinari was hugged by Faried after the swish. Denver ended the quarter on a 13-6 run to keep things close after being blown out in its last three home games. "You look at the stat sheet, you'd think we won," said Will Barton, who scored 16 points. "They just made a lot of plays at the end." The Pelicans are a half-game behind Oklahoma City for the last playoff spot in the Western Conference with 23 left to play. "We have to play at a high level every game," said Gordon, who had 18 points. Denver forward Darrell Arthur sat out a second straight game with a strained right calf. And while he's nearing a return, Nurkic isn't all that close. Coach Brian Shaw said Nurkic's foot was still "really, really swollen. So my gut tells me that he'll be out for a while." Without Nurkic in the middle, New Orleans took advantage of the height mismatch early and scored its first 16 points from inside the paint. Still, Denver outscored the Pelicans in the paint by a 46-42 margin. The Nuggets also had more second-chance points (20-8) and fast-break points (19-7). "When I look at the stat sheet, it's crazy," Shaw said. TIP-INS: Pelicans: Williams played one game with Denver in 1999. He hit one of two free throws in the contest. ... Norris Cole had 10 points. Nuggets: By a 6-5 margin, the players voted to bring back morning shootarounds on game nights. Earlier this season, Shaw moved the traditional morning practice to the afternoon to give his players more time to sleep. ... Ty Lawson had five points and 11 assists. ... Foye, who made his first start of the season, finished with 19 points.

2015年3月1日星期日

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BOSTON -- Kyle Dubas was putting the finishing touches on his list of prospects for the 2015 NHL Draft when he noticed a troubling trend.
The ones who played in the IIHF World Junior Championship were, relatively speaking, ranked higher than similar prospects who did not. Dubas found this to be a form of bias, something he was desperately trying to weed out of his rankings.

"Does playing in the world juniors at 17 make you a better prospect than someone that doesn't?" Dubas said during his presentation of "How Analytics has Limited the Impact of Cognitive Bias on Personnel Decisions"Cheap NHL Jerseys Online at the 2015 MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference.Wholesale NHL Jerseys "I don't think so. I think we know that from years of going through and measuring at different points."

Dubas, whose hire as an assistant general manager by the Toronto Maple Leafs was the highlight of the NHL's "Summer of Analytics" in 2014, spoke for more than 20 minutes Saturday about his experiences as general manager of the Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds.

His ability to incorporate the use of analytics with the Soo made them one of the most successful teams in the Ontario Hockey League and helped convince the Maple Leafs to hire a 28-year-old with no professional playing experience to help overhaul the collective thought process for an organization once considered a leader in being anti-analytics.

The major points Dubas focused on in his presentation were a window into the future of hockey analytics. Collecting the data and knowing how to interpret it is one thing, but being able to communicate to others in your organization and have them buy in is quite another and extremely valuable. He also spoke on how different types of bias can negatively affect teams, and how the use of analytics can help prevent that.

Hockey fans (and team representatives, for that matter) have squabbled for years about the validity and use of certain advanced statistics, and whether there is a place for analytics in the sport. That larger battle is over, even if some choose to continue to engage in minor skirmishes.

One of the biggest themes of this two-day conference across several different sports is simple: OK, we have the data and we know it's good, but how do we get everyone else in our organization on board?

Dubas mentioned the transformation of his team during his second year with Sault Ste. Marie. The Greyhounds were controlling about 47 percent of the shot attempts in the first 30 games and improved to 57 percent for the rest of the season.

The difference? Dubas hired a new coach, Sheldon Keefe,Cheap NHL Jerseys From China who took over and was open to using the data Dubas' small team was able to deliver.

"Basically, there is a big difference between raw statistics and data gathering and using that data to incorporate into your process as a team," Dubas said.

Dubas also was part of the "Changing on the Fly: The State of Advanced Analytics in the NHL" panel, along with Edmonton Oilers analyst Tyler Dellow, former Oilers coach Dallas Eakins, former NHL executive Frank Provenzano of ESPN, and James Mirtle of The Globe and Mail.

Eakins, Dellow and Dubas spoke of their experiences trying to communicate better about the data that is available.

"Everybody in hockey is interested in more information, but not everyone speaks the same language," Dellow said, pointing out that he has been able to use video to bridge the gap in the Oilers organization.

The other focus of Dubas' presentation was filtering out bias and how thinking analytically can help. He listed five types of bias (conformation, recency, information, sample size, and simplicity) he has experienced during his time with the Soo and the Maple Leafs.

Beyond the draft rankings, Dubas brought up two critical times on the NHL calendar when bias becomes a big problem. The first is right now, the days leading up to the NHL Trade Deadline.

"We have the trade deadline coming up on Monday," Dubas said. "You're in a discussion with another team and they say, 'We want Player X from you,' and we say, 'OK, what are you going to give us?' And they say, 'We'll give you prospect A, B or C, and a fourth-round pick.'

"The initial reaction is to open the floodgates unleash our scouts and they rush to, pick an AHL city, Binghamton, they go to see the Binghamton Senators to watch prospects A, B and C, and they say, 'Prospect B was great, prospect C was terrible, and prospect A was just OK.'

"So immediately our discussion shifts to prospect B. We're eliminating hundreds of games that we've scouted of these players and many data points that we have and we're putting it on one game on Feb. 23,Cheap NHL Jerseys From China 2015 when we've watched this player for four or five years."

The other time bias can lead a team to make the wrong decision is during training camp. A large amount of players are together, and a small amount of time is used to try to decide which ones should be on the roster.

Dubas warned of letting any results during camp play too large a role in the decision.

"We have years of information and scouting reports on players,"Cheap NHL Jerseys he said.Wholesale NHL Jerseys From China "But if a player comes into camp and has a good training camp we put him on the team and take off a player who has proven for years to be better and put him in the minors, or you release him and someone claims him on waivers."

The theme of Dubas' presentation was the importance of being willing to learn. He incorporated analytics in his first year with the Soo, but they missed the playoffs.Cheap NHL Jerseys Free Shipping So he learned from the failure, and that helped him turn Sault Ste. Marie into the one of the top teams in the OHL.

It is a desire to learn more and test what has long been considered truth in hockey, even if it might not be, that spurs people who want to be part of the analytics movement in the sport.

"I don't understand why it has to be for and against [analytics]," Eakins said. "You should be for everything."

2015年2月28日星期六

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 NEW YORK -- A broken hand opening night, multiple illnesses that he never before had to deal with, inconsistent play that hadn't existed previously, and a reduced role that hurt his confidence. Dan Boyle didn't expect his first season with the New York Rangers to be as frustrating on a personal level as it has been.

At 38 years old, Boyle knew his days as a No. 1 defenseman were done, particularly because he signed with a team that already featured Ryan McDonagh, Dan Girardi and Marc Staal. But Boyle didn't think he'd have to deal with as much change and adversity as he's had to this season.

"That's been the most frustrating thing about this year for me, just trying to stay steady with that confidence level," Boyle said.Cheap NHL Jerseys Online "It's hard when you're not used to this."

It looks like it's finally getting easier for Boyle; he at least feels it is. So does McDonagh. So does Rangers coach Alain Vigneault, who said Boyle had one of his best games of the season Thursday in a 4-3 win against the Arizona Coyotes.

Though it might have taken until late February, it appears the Rangers finally are seeing the skilled, slick-skating, puck-rushing defenseman they thought they were getting when they signed Boyle to a two-year, $9 million contract July 1.

New York carries a 10-game point streak (8-0-2) into its game Saturday at the Philadelphia Flyers (8 p.m. ET; NBC, City). Boyle has been in the lineup and contributing in various ways every game.

"I'm just kind of figuring out my role, and that's been a tough adjustment on me mentally, just playing less than I've been accustomed to in the past," Boyle said. "It's definitely been an adjustment and mentally it's been tough, but if I look at the last 10 games or so I think I've done a better job than in the past. I don't know if niche is the word, but I'm finding ways to get involved offensively a little bit more."

Boyle's role is different with the Rangers, so those end-to-end rushes he became famous for with the Tampa Bay Lightning and San Jose Sharks, when he'd weave through the middle of the ice, are few and far between. The Rangers' defensemen rarely skate the puck through the neutral zone.

Boyle's ice time also is different because of the presence of McDonagh, Girardi and Staal, and the improvement of Kevin Klein. Though Boyle led his team in average ice time per game for the past 11 seasons, with a low mark of 21:16 last season, this season he is fourth on the Rangers at 20:05; that is elevated by his Rangers-leading 2:58 per game on the power play.Cheap NHL Jerseys From China He has played fewer than 20 minutes in 10 of the past 14 games.

Of late Boyle has been taking more risks with his pinches in the offensive zone and he's generating more scoring chances at even-strength and on the power play. He has played almost 22 minutes in two of the past three games.

Wholesale NHL Jerseys From China "You can tell he's still got good jump," McDonagh said. "The best thing is he makes a little pass behind the net, then he's making three or four hard strides to beat his guy up the ice, takes a chance on a pinch, continues low, sniffing. Those are the examples that create opportunities for us offensively."

Boyle has 15 points in 43 games, so though his numbers might not reflect his improved play, he didn't come to the Rangers to put up numbers.

"I came here to win the Stanley Cup," Boyle said.

The Rangers signed him because they thought he could help them do that. New York is 30-9-4 with Boyle in the lineup this season; it is 8-7-2 without him.

Boyle's enhanced stats tell a bigger story of his value. He leads the Rangers in shot-attempts differential (SAT) at plus-125 and in SAT relative at plus-233, though it should be noted he's been playing on the third defense pair, so he's not facing the same level of competition as McDonagh, Girardi, Staal and Klein are.

"I see a lot of positives there and a lot of upside," Vigneault said. "Obviously his minutes here are different than what he's used to, but when he's been in our lineup our win record is excellent. He helps us to move the puck. He's just being used a little bit differently. I feel come the end of the season he'll be fresh and ready to help us with that final push."

That's what Boyle is hoping for. That's what has kept him going through what easily has been his most trying season since 2001-02, before he became a No. 1 defenseman for the Lightning and the Sharks.

Boyle averaged at least 24 minutes per game in seven of his previous 11 seasons. He averaged more than 25 minutes five times, 26 minutes four times, and 27 minutes twice.

Cheap NHL Jerseys Free Shipping Now that his minutes are less, Boyle said it's harder to regain confidence after making a mistake because he has more time to think about what went wrong. And with the way he plays, having the puck as often as he does in precarious positions near the blue line, mistakes are going to happen.

"When you're playing 27 or 28 minutes a night like I have been for the last 12 years, you don't have time to think about mistakes and you get a really good feel for the game," Boyle said. "That's been the tough adjustment, sitting there and not feeling the puck as much and having to go out there and do what I'm used to doing."

Boyle's game also has changed with the score. The Rangers have been playing with the lead a lot (they've scored first in 37 of 60 games), so they haven't needed Boyle to try as many end-to-end rushes or pinch as deep into the offensive zone to chase a goal.

"He's trying to play within the team concept, the team boundaries, so he's playing the game that is in front of him and we've been ahead a lot," said forward Martin St. Louis, who won the Stanley Cup with Boyle in Tampa Bay in 2004. "We tend to play safer when we're ahead and our [defensemen] are not really leading the rush. We've been ahead in a lot of the games and you play sometimes to protect the lead. But if we need a goal you know [Boyle] is going to hold on to it a little more and he's going to sniff. The reality is we haven't trailed much."

Boyle's enhanced statistics prove St. Louis' point. He leads the Rangers with a plus-58 SAT behind and plus-55 SAT close, so when they are trailing or the score is close he is pushing the offense to generate shots and scoring chances.

"The score will dictate a little bit more about how I play, but I'm not going to complain," Boyle said. "This team has been winning, has been ahead. At the end of the day that eases the frustration."